← Top

📊 Stock Prediction Accuracy Report

期間: 2026-02-24 ~ 2026-03-01 | 総予測: 77 | 評価済: 41 | 全体WR: 26.8%
生成: 2026-03-01T06:03 by Clawdia

26.8%
全体 Win Rate (41件)
34.5%
UP予測 WR (29件)
16.7%
DOWN予測 WR (6件)
-0.62%
平均リターン

📈 パターン別分析 (dd_pattern)

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
compound_decline10330.0%0.55%
gradual7228.6%-1.48%
single_shock100.0%-7.09%
unknown23626.1%-0.59%

🔥 カタリスト別分析

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
earnings19631.6%-2.47%
macro200.0%4.41%
news16425.0%0.84%
technical4125.0%-0.23%

🎯 Confidence別分析

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
conf_29111.1%1.57%
conf_323834.8%-0.91%
conf_49222.2%-2.09%

🔍 DD警告数別分析

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
DD未実施23626.1%-0.59%
警告08225.0%-2.18%
警告1+10330.0%0.55%

🐻 Bear Case有無の比較

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
あり18527.8%-0.66%
なし23626.1%-0.59%

🔄 逆張り vs 順張り

CategoryNWinsWRAvg Return
逆張り15426.7%-3.31%
順張り26726.9%0.93%

⏰ タイミング問題分析

負けだが一時的にpeak +3%以上 — 方向は合ってたがタイミングが悪かったケース

該当: 2件

DateSymbolDirectionPeak %Final %
2026-02-25NVDAUP+3.32%-2.65%
2026-02-25NVDAUP+3.22%-6.79%

💡 発見した改善ルール

データから見えたエッジと注意点

📋 個別銘柄一覧

Date Symbol Dir Conf Catalyst Pattern Price Change% Peak% Result
2026-02-24PYPL UP 3newsunknown $44.05 3.47% +9.24% WIN
2026-02-24NVO DOWN 4earningsunknown $39.62 -5.05% +5.48% WIN
2026-02-24LLY UP 4newsunknown $1058.41 -3.44% +0.01% LOSS
2026-02-24NVDA UP 3earningsunknown $191.55 -0.76% +2.44% LOSS
2026-02-24NFLX DOWN 2newsunknown $76.02 11.43% +0.13% LOSS
2026-02-24WBD UP 3newsunknown $28.92 -0.41% +0.83% LOSS
2026-02-24INTC DOWN 2macrounknown $43.63 4.33% +0% LOSS
2026-02-24IBM UP 3newsunknown $223.35 8.35% +8.35% WIN
2026-02-24UBER NEUTRAL 2newsunknown $70.72 5.77% +0% LOSS
2026-02-24HIMS UP 3earningsunknown $15.89 -1.83% +2.01% LOSS
2026-02-24WBD UP 4newsunknown $28.92 -0.41% +0.83% LOSS
2026-02-24MSFT NEUTRAL 2macrounknown $384.47 4.49% +0% LOSS
2026-02-24GLD UP 4macrounknown $None — +0% PENDING
2026-02-24INSW UP 2newsunknown $67.06 8.13% +12.63% WIN
2026-02-25FDX UP 3newsunknown $383.24 1.16% +1.16% WIN
2026-02-25AMD UP 4newsunknown $210.31 -3.15% +1.68% LOSS
2026-02-25META NEUTRAL 2newsunknown $630.11 4.27% +0% LOSS
2026-02-25NVDA UP 3earningsunknown $189.92 -2.65% +3.32% LOSS
2026-02-25IOVA DOWN 3earningsunknown $3.77 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-25HD NEUTRAL 2earningsunknown $384.46 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-25NVO DOWN 4newsunknown $38.58 — +2.93% PENDING
2026-02-25HIMS DOWN 3earningsunknown $15.52 — +8.31% PENDING
2026-02-25INTC UP 3newsunknown $46.49 — +0.84% PENDING
2026-02-25KEYS UP 4earningsunknown $301.48 — +1.94% PENDING
2026-02-25IBRX UP 2newsunknown $11.55 — +0.09% PENDING
2026-02-25DRS UP 3newsunknown $43.82 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-25CIFR UP 3technicalunknown $17.12 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-25PYPL UP 3technicalunknown $47.02 — +2.34% PENDING
2026-02-25BTG UP 3macrounknown $6.09 — +1.97% PENDING
2026-02-25UCTT UP 3earningsunknown $71.96 -15.68% +1.63% LOSS
2026-02-25TRI UP 3earningsunknown $93.21 3.43% +7.18% WIN
2026-02-25WULF UP 3technicalunknown $17.56 -7.63% +2.05% LOSS
2026-02-25F UP 3technicalunknown $14.2 -0.77% +1.69% LOSS
2026-02-25CRWV UP 3newsunknown $99.3 -19.88% +2.38% LOSS
2026-02-25NVDA UP 3earningsunknown $190.1 -6.79% +3.22% LOSS
2026-02-26CRCL UP 3earningscompound_decline $74.86 11.46% +16.5% WIN
2026-02-26AXON UP 4earningscompound_decline $527.0 2.92% +4.4% WIN
2026-02-26CAVA UP 3earningscompound_decline $81.43 1.28% +5.33% WIN
2026-02-26TSM UP 4newsgradual $385.75 -2.9% +0.51% LOSS
2026-02-26LUNR DOWN 3newscompound_decline $16.01 2.94% +0.75% LOSS
2026-02-26NVDA UP 3earningsgradual $196.22 -9.7% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26YOU UP 3earningsgradual $46.51 4.58% +4.58% WIN
2026-02-26COIN UP 3newscompound_decline $183.94 -4.4% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26JAZZ UP 4earningsgradual $196.83 -3.46% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26NFLX UP 3technicalgradual $82.7 16.37% +16.37% WIN
2026-02-26NVTS NEUTRAL 2technicalcompound_decline $9.88 -8.91% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26IBRX DOWN 4newscompound_decline $9.54 2.52% +0.31% LOSS
2026-02-26NVDA NEUTRAL 2earningsgradual $195.62 -9.42% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26ECG UP 3earningssingle_shock $130.1 -7.09% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26CLDX UP 3earningscompound_decline $30.82 -2.37% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26UTHR UP 4earningsgradual $535.1 -5.83% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26FIG NEUTRAL 2earningscompound_decline $31.24 -5.92% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26UWMC DOWN 3earningscompound_decline $4.16 6.01% +0% LOSS
2026-02-26OWL NEUTRAL 2technicalcompound_decline $11.35 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-27LMAT UP 4earningsgradual $113.87 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-27SEZL UP 3earningscompound_decline $85.15 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-27IONQ NEUTRAL 2technicalcompound_decline $40.62 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-27EOSE DOWN 4earningscompound_decline $6.88 — +17.22% PENDING
2026-02-27CZR UP 3earningscompound_decline $24.77 — +1.13% PENDING
2026-02-27NVDA DOWN 3earningssingle_shock $190.1 — +6.79% PENDING
2026-02-28LMT UP 4newsgradual $658.08 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28RTX UP 3newsgradual $202.62 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28XOM UP 3newsgradual $152.5 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28AAOI NEUTRAL 2earningscompound_decline $84.23 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28RUN DOWN 4newscompound_decline $13.25 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28SQ UP 3newscompound_decline $63.7 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28NBIS DOWN 3macrocompound_decline $91.19 — +0% PENDING
2026-02-28NFLX UP 3newsgradual $96.24 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01NOC UP 4newsgradual $724.38 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01CVX UP 3newsgradual $186.76 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01GS DOWN 3macrosingle_shock $859.57 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01AXP DOWN 4macrocompound_decline $308.9 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01DAL DOWN 3newscompound_decline $65.7 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01MS DOWN 3macrosingle_shock $166.51 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01CPNG NEUTRAL 2nonesingle_shock $19.08 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01LMT UP 4newsgradual $658.08 — +0% PENDING
2026-03-01RTX UP 3newsgradual $202.62 — +0% PENDING